Linked outcomes

Event

Singapore extends SSD to three years and tightens financing for borrowers with outstanding housing loans

Announced 30 August 2010 · Effective 30 August 2010 · Macroprudential

Comparison anchored to effective date: 30 August 2010.

Before and after figures are the 365-day windows of the before and after view, not each outcome record's own window. A link here is an association the archive records; it is not a finding that the event produced the outcome.

In brief

2 outcome records are linked to this event: 0 with computable series, 1 citing a series whose aggregation type is unresolved, 0 observed without a series, and 1 unresolved.
No immediate market-wide price reversal cites URA Private Residential Property Price Index, all residential properties, level (1Q2009 = 100); the aggregation type is unresolved, so Prevo does not compute a before and after comparison.
2 of 2 outcome records name no source, and none has a source document attached.
2 further series are observed around this event through its category mapping, not through an outcome record.

Linked outcomes (2)

Directly referenced: an outcome record on this event. Listed computable first, then not computable, then observed in words, then unresolved; not ranked.

Outcome record 1

No immediate market-wide price reversal

Not computable

Outcome link exists, but this metric cannot yet be safely aggregated because its series type is unresolved. (DQ-OUT-002)

Observation state: Observed
Value basis: Calculated from published series
Outcome window: Q3 2010 to Q1 2011 · calendar · anchored to the effective date
Temporal relationship: Spans the event. Window "Q3 2010 to Q1 2011" read as 1 July 2010 to 31 March 2011, against the effective date 30 August 2010. No dated window is stored; the dates are read from the label.

HDB Resale Price Index

INDEX · Computable

365 days before

116.6

Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010 · 273/365 days

365 days after

130.4

Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011 · 273/365 days

Observed change

+13.8

+11.8%

Qualified: whole periods cover 273/365 days before and 273/365 days after. Days outside a whole period are not counted and are not treated as zero.

URA Private Residential Property Price Index, all residential properties, level (1Q2009 = 100)

Series type unresolved · Not computable

Outcome link exists, but this metric cannot yet be safely aggregated because its series type is unresolved.

Primary source cited for HDB Resale Price Index: Housing & Development BoardPrimary source cited for URA Private Residential Property Price Index, all residential properties, level (1Q2009 = 100): Urban Redevelopment AuthorityDerived observationEvidence incomplete

Gap: Evidence record exists, but no source is named on it.

Why is this linked?

Policy event
Singapore extends SSD to three years and tightens financing for borrowers with outstanding housing loans
Announced 30 August 2010, effective 30 August 2010
Outcome record
Outcome record 1: No immediate market-wide price reversal
Calendar window "Q3 2010 to Q1 2011", anchored to the effective date
Metric
HDB Resale Price Index
Series type: INDEX
Observed series
Observed series, value in the latest whole quarterly period inside each 365-day window
Before: Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010. After: Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011.
Source
Housing & Development Board
Primary source
Metric
URA Private Residential Property Price Index, all residential properties, level (1Q2009 = 100)
Series type: unresolved
Observed series
Series held, not aggregated: series type unresolved
Source
Urban Redevelopment Authority
Primary source

As recorded on the outcome

The private residential Property Price Index rose 2.9% in Q3 2010, 2.7% in Q4 and 2.2% in Q1 2011. The HDB Resale Price Index rose 4.0%, 2.6% and 1.6% across the same quarters.

Record identifiers

event evt_sg_2010_ssd_aug · outcome 0c000000-0000-4000-8000-000000001301 · metrics bd89e9e1-83d4-4cb1-a341-40896143b8d8, 3e000000-0000-4000-8000-000000000901

Outcome record 2

Short-term disposal and loan composition

Unresolved

Registered before it could be observed: no observation is recorded.

Observation state: Registered before it could be observed
Value basis: Not derived: no value recorded yet · Not derived · origin: Unresolved
Outcome window: 2010 onward · calendar · anchored to the effective date
Temporal relationship: Window recorded as "2010 onward" (calendar), anchored to the effective date 30 August 2010. No dated window is stored and the label gives no dates, so it is not placed.

Source document not attachedEvidence incomplete

Gap: Evidence record exists, but no source is named on it.

Why is this linked?

Policy event
Singapore extends SSD to three years and tightens financing for borrowers with outstanding housing loans
Announced 30 August 2010, effective 30 August 2010
Outcome record
Outcome record 2: Short-term disposal and loan composition
Calendar window "2010 onward", anchored to the effective date
Source
No source named

Record identifiers

event evt_sg_2010_ssd_aug · outcome 0c000000-0000-4000-8000-000000001302

Associated indicators (2)

Observed around the selected event: a series mapped to this kind of event, cited by no outcome record.

Private Residential Property Price Index, All Residential

Observed

Observed around the event; no outcome record cites this series.

Temporal relationship: Before: Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010, observed before the event. After: Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011, beginning on or after the event. A period that spans 30 August 2010 counts on neither side.

Private Residential Property Price Index, All Residential

INDEX · Computable

365 days before

131.7

Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010 · 273/365 days

365 days after

145.1

Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011 · 273/365 days

Observed change

+13.4

+10.2%

Qualified: whole periods cover 273/365 days before and 273/365 days after. Days outside a whole period are not counted and are not treated as zero.

Primary source cited: Urban Redevelopment Authority

Why is this linked?

Policy event
Singapore extends SSD to three years and tightens financing for borrowers with outstanding housing loans
Announced 30 August 2010, effective 30 August 2010
Category mapping
Series mapped to macroprudential events
No outcome record cites it
Metric
Private Residential Property Price Index, All Residential
Series type: INDEX
Observed series
Observed series, value in the latest whole quarterly period inside each 365-day window
Before: Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010. After: Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011.
Source
Urban Redevelopment Authority
Primary source

Record identifiers

event evt_sg_2010_ssd_aug · metrics 7cbef7bc-b216-48c3-851c-91b71553b792

Singapore private residential transactions, all types of sale

Observed

Observed around the event; no outcome record cites this series.

Temporal relationship: Before: Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010, observed before the event. After: Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011, beginning on or after the event. A period that spans 30 August 2010 counts on neither side.

Singapore private residential transactions, all types of sale

FLOW · Computable

365 days before

27,137

Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010 · 273/365 days

365 days after

26,723

Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011 · 273/365 days

Observed change

-414

-1.5%

Qualified: whole periods cover 273/365 days before and 273/365 days after. Days outside a whole period are not counted and are not treated as zero.

Primary source cited: Urban Redevelopment Authority

Why is this linked?

Policy event
Singapore extends SSD to three years and tightens financing for borrowers with outstanding housing loans
Announced 30 August 2010, effective 30 August 2010
Category mapping
Series mapped to macroprudential events
No outcome record cites it
Metric
Singapore private residential transactions, all types of sale
Series type: FLOW
Observed series
Observed series, total over whole quarterly periods inside each 365-day window
Before: Q4 2009, Q1 2010, Q2 2010. After: Q4 2010, Q1 2011, Q2 2011.
Source
Urban Redevelopment Authority
Primary source

Record identifiers

event evt_sg_2010_ssd_aug · metrics 56dfd10a-d6b9-41a7-b183-7d2b09301f89